BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Dakota St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 3 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (7-1) Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength =  145.27

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Home    W   137.19  56  14   1B 125 (  3-  8) Drake                  -7.88 *   49.88                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W   157.69  43   3   1B  59 (  7-  4) North Carolina A&T     12.62     27.38                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    L   147.69  28  31   1A  67 (  5-  7) Arizona                 2.62     -5.62                      
  4 09/24/2022 Away    W * 143.54  34  17   1B  47 (  3-  8) South Dakota           -1.53     18.53                      
  5 10/01/2022 Home    W * 140.58  27  14   1B  29 (  7-  4) Youngstown St          -4.49     17.49                      
  6 10/08/2022 Away    W * 124.07  31  26   1B  57 (  2-  9) Indiana St            -21.00     26.00                      
  7 10/15/2022 Home    L * 143.80  21  23   1B   1 ( 11-  1) South Dakota St        -1.27     -0.73                      
  8 10/29/2022 Home    W * 140.14  24   7   1B  36 (  6-  5) Illinois St            -4.93     21.93                      
  9 11/05/2022 Away    W * 150.91  56  17   1B  96 (  0- 11) Western Illinois        5.84 *   33.16                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    W * 139.68  21  18   1B  21 (  5-  6) Southern Illinois      -5.39      8.39                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    W * 152.94  42  21   1B  23 (  7-  5) North Dakota            7.87     13.13                      
 12 12/03/2022 Home    W   162.63  49  26   1B  14 (  8-  5) Montana                17.56      5.44                      
      Averages             145.07  36.0 18.1

Best game:  162.63 = 23 point win over Montana
Worst game: 124.07 = 5 point win over Indiana St
Team stdev:  10.23